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This mutation is actually quite penetrant. It increases one's baseline risk by a factor of about 20, which is why Sergey said that his chances of developing PD are between 20 and 80%.
For example, here is a pretty big paper that came out in July: http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/18539534
Also, this is a good resource:
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/bookshelf/br.fcgi?b...
(scroll down to penetrance).
I am writing the authors of the gene tests article, b/c there is hype in it.
-Steve
www.thegenesherpa.blogspot.com
-Steve
www.thegenesherpa.blogspot.com
"And even if you are Jewish, the penetrance of this mutation is 24 to 85%."
Sergey Brin is Jewish. Penetrance is defined as the probability of disease given the mutation. "24 to 85%" is completely consistent with Brin's 20-80% quote.
So Sergey's post is completely relevant. He has found out information about himself that according to studies *specific to his ethnicity* give him a 20-80% chance of getting Parkinson's, a dramatic increase above the <1% chance in the general population.